Large Cap Value Profund Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 115.43

LVPIX Fund  USD 115.51  0.90  0.79%   
Large-cap Value's future price is the expected price of Large-cap Value instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Large Cap Value Profund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Large-cap Value Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Large-cap Value Correlation, Large-cap Value Hype Analysis, Large-cap Value Volatility, Large-cap Value History as well as Large-cap Value Performance.
  
Please specify Large-cap Value's target price for which you would like Large-cap Value odds to be computed.

Large-cap Value Target Price Odds to finish over 115.43

The tendency of Large-cap Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 115.43  in 90 days
 115.51 90 days 115.43 
about 1.14
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Large-cap Value to stay above $ 115.43  in 90 days from now is about 1.14 (This Large Cap Value Profund probability density function shows the probability of Large-cap Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Large Cap Value price to stay between $ 115.43  and its current price of $115.51 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Large-cap Value has a beta of 0.75. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Large-cap Value average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Large Cap Value Profund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Large Cap Value Profund has an alpha of 8.0E-4, implying that it can generate a 8.17E-4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Large-cap Value Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Large-cap Value

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Large Cap Value. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
113.99114.61115.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
109.23109.85126.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
113.71114.33114.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
109.95112.78115.60
Details

Large-cap Value Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Large-cap Value is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Large-cap Value's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Large Cap Value Profund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Large-cap Value within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.0008
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.75
σ
Overall volatility
1.73
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Large-cap Value Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Large-cap Value for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Large Cap Value can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 99.56% of its assets in stocks

Large-cap Value Technical Analysis

Large-cap Value's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Large-cap Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Large Cap Value Profund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Large-cap Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Large-cap Value Predictive Forecast Models

Large-cap Value's time-series forecasting models is one of many Large-cap Value's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Large-cap Value's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Large Cap Value

Checking the ongoing alerts about Large-cap Value for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Large Cap Value help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 99.56% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Large-cap Mutual Fund

Large-cap Value financial ratios help investors to determine whether Large-cap Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Large-cap with respect to the benefits of owning Large-cap Value security.
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