Lowes Companies (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 253.55

LWE Stock  EUR 255.40  2.95  1.14%   
Lowes Companies' future price is the expected price of Lowes Companies instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lowes Companies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lowes Companies Backtesting, Lowes Companies Valuation, Lowes Companies Correlation, Lowes Companies Hype Analysis, Lowes Companies Volatility, Lowes Companies History as well as Lowes Companies Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Lowes Stock please use our How to Invest in Lowes Companies guide.
  
Please specify Lowes Companies' target price for which you would like Lowes Companies odds to be computed.

Lowes Companies Target Price Odds to finish over 253.55

The tendency of Lowes Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 253.55  in 90 days
 255.40 90 days 253.55 
about 26.21
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lowes Companies to stay above € 253.55  in 90 days from now is about 26.21 (This Lowes Companies probability density function shows the probability of Lowes Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lowes Companies price to stay between € 253.55  and its current price of €255.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.11 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Lowes Companies has a beta of 0.0632. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lowes Companies average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lowes Companies will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lowes Companies has an alpha of 0.2441, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Lowes Companies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lowes Companies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lowes Companies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
253.80255.40257.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
229.86292.70294.30
Details

Lowes Companies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lowes Companies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lowes Companies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lowes Companies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lowes Companies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
11.15
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Lowes Companies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lowes Companies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lowes Companies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lowes Companies has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Lowes Companies Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lowes Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lowes Companies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lowes Companies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding673.7 M

Lowes Companies Technical Analysis

Lowes Companies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lowes Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lowes Companies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lowes Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lowes Companies Predictive Forecast Models

Lowes Companies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Lowes Companies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lowes Companies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lowes Companies

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lowes Companies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lowes Companies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lowes Companies has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Lowes Stock

When determining whether Lowes Companies is a strong investment it is important to analyze Lowes Companies' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Lowes Companies' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Lowes Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Lowes Companies Backtesting, Lowes Companies Valuation, Lowes Companies Correlation, Lowes Companies Hype Analysis, Lowes Companies Volatility, Lowes Companies History as well as Lowes Companies Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Lowes Stock please use our How to Invest in Lowes Companies guide.
You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lowes Companies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lowes Companies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lowes Companies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.