Locaweb Servios (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.17
| LWSA3 Stock | BRL 4.30 0.13 3.12% |
Locaweb |
Locaweb Servios Target Price Odds to finish below 4.17
The tendency of Locaweb Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to R$ 4.17 or more in 90 days |
| 4.30 | 90 days | 4.17 | about 25.58 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Locaweb Servios to drop to R$ 4.17 or more in 90 days from now is about 25.58 (This Locaweb Servios de probability density function shows the probability of Locaweb Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Locaweb Servios de price to stay between R$ 4.17 and its current price of R$4.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.21 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.14 . This indicates Locaweb Servios de market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Locaweb Servios is expected to follow. Additionally Locaweb Servios de has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Locaweb Servios Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Locaweb Servios
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Locaweb Servios de. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Locaweb Servios Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Locaweb Servios is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Locaweb Servios' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Locaweb Servios de, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Locaweb Servios within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Locaweb Servios Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Locaweb Servios for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Locaweb Servios de can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Locaweb Servios de generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 800.21 M. Net Loss for the year was (15.75 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 364.53 M. | |
| About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Locaweb Servios Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Locaweb Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Locaweb Servios' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Locaweb Servios' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 B |
Locaweb Servios Technical Analysis
Locaweb Servios' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Locaweb Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Locaweb Servios de. In general, you should focus on analyzing Locaweb Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Locaweb Servios Predictive Forecast Models
Locaweb Servios' time-series forecasting models is one of many Locaweb Servios' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Locaweb Servios' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Locaweb Servios de
Checking the ongoing alerts about Locaweb Servios for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Locaweb Servios de help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Locaweb Servios de generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 800.21 M. Net Loss for the year was (15.75 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 364.53 M. | |
| About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Tools for Locaweb Stock Analysis
When running Locaweb Servios' price analysis, check to measure Locaweb Servios' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Locaweb Servios is operating at the current time. Most of Locaweb Servios' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Locaweb Servios' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Locaweb Servios' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Locaweb Servios to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.