Lyxor BofAML (Germany) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 75.83
| LYXE Etf | EUR 76.63 0.15 0.20% |
Lyxor |
Lyxor BofAML Target Price Odds to finish below 75.83
The tendency of Lyxor Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 75.83 or more in 90 days |
| 76.63 | 90 days | 75.83 | about 32.82 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lyxor BofAML to drop to € 75.83 or more in 90 days from now is about 32.82 (This Lyxor BofAML USD probability density function shows the probability of Lyxor Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lyxor BofAML USD price to stay between € 75.83 and its current price of €76.63 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lyxor BofAML has a beta of 0.0504. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lyxor BofAML average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lyxor BofAML USD will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lyxor BofAML USD has an alpha of 0.012, implying that it can generate a 0.012 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lyxor BofAML Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Lyxor BofAML
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lyxor BofAML USD. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lyxor BofAML's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lyxor BofAML Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lyxor BofAML is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lyxor BofAML's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lyxor BofAML USD, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lyxor BofAML within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.39 |
Lyxor BofAML Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lyxor BofAML for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lyxor BofAML USD can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lyxor BofAML USD generated five year return of 0.0% | |
| This fund maintains about 12.35% of its assets in bonds |
Lyxor BofAML Technical Analysis
Lyxor BofAML's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lyxor Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lyxor BofAML USD. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lyxor Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lyxor BofAML Predictive Forecast Models
Lyxor BofAML's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lyxor BofAML's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lyxor BofAML's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lyxor BofAML USD
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lyxor BofAML for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lyxor BofAML USD help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lyxor BofAML USD generated five year return of 0.0% | |
| This fund maintains about 12.35% of its assets in bonds |
Other Information on Investing in Lyxor Etf
Lyxor BofAML financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lyxor Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lyxor with respect to the benefits of owning Lyxor BofAML security.