A Luzon (Israel) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 27.64

LZNR Stock   31.80  1.20  3.92%   
A Luzon's future price is the expected price of A Luzon instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of A Luzon Real performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out A Luzon Backtesting, A Luzon Valuation, A Luzon Correlation, A Luzon Hype Analysis, A Luzon Volatility, A Luzon History as well as A Luzon Performance.
  
Please specify A Luzon's target price for which you would like A Luzon odds to be computed.

A Luzon Target Price Odds to finish below 27.64

The tendency of LZNR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  27.64  or more in 90 days
 31.80 90 days 27.64 
about 31.94
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of A Luzon to drop to  27.64  or more in 90 days from now is about 31.94 (This A Luzon Real probability density function shows the probability of LZNR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of A Luzon Real price to stay between  27.64  and its current price of 31.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 62.8 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon A Luzon has a beta of 0.51. This indicates as returns on the market go up, A Luzon average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding A Luzon Real will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally A Luzon Real has an alpha of 0.0767, implying that it can generate a 0.0767 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   A Luzon Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for A Luzon

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as A Luzon Real. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.7131.8035.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.9425.0334.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.3531.4435.53
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
31.8031.8031.80
Details

A Luzon Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. A Luzon is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the A Luzon's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold A Luzon Real, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of A Luzon within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.51
σ
Overall volatility
1.98
Ir
Information ratio 0

A Luzon Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of A Luzon for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for A Luzon Real can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
A Luzon Real had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
A Luzon Real has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (7.49 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
A Luzon generates negative cash flow from operations
About 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

A Luzon Technical Analysis

A Luzon's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LZNR Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of A Luzon Real. In general, you should focus on analyzing LZNR Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

A Luzon Predictive Forecast Models

A Luzon's time-series forecasting models is one of many A Luzon's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary A Luzon's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about A Luzon Real

Checking the ongoing alerts about A Luzon for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for A Luzon Real help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
A Luzon Real had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
A Luzon Real has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (7.49 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
A Luzon generates negative cash flow from operations
About 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in LZNR Stock

A Luzon financial ratios help investors to determine whether LZNR Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LZNR with respect to the benefits of owning A Luzon security.