FIREWEED METALS (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.01

M0G Stock   0.88  0.02  2.22%   
FIREWEED METALS's future price is the expected price of FIREWEED METALS instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FIREWEED METALS P performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out FIREWEED METALS Backtesting, FIREWEED METALS Valuation, FIREWEED METALS Correlation, FIREWEED METALS Hype Analysis, FIREWEED METALS Volatility, FIREWEED METALS History as well as FIREWEED METALS Performance.
  
Please specify FIREWEED METALS's target price for which you would like FIREWEED METALS odds to be computed.

FIREWEED METALS Target Price Odds to finish below 0.01

The tendency of FIREWEED Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.01  or more in 90 days
 0.88 90 days 0.01 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FIREWEED METALS to drop to  0.01  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This FIREWEED METALS P probability density function shows the probability of FIREWEED Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FIREWEED METALS P price to stay between  0.01  and its current price of 0.88 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.75 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.23 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, FIREWEED METALS will likely underperform. Additionally FIREWEED METALS P has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   FIREWEED METALS Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FIREWEED METALS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FIREWEED METALS P. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.883.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.763.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.903.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.830.880.92
Details

FIREWEED METALS Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FIREWEED METALS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FIREWEED METALS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FIREWEED METALS P, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FIREWEED METALS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.23
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

FIREWEED METALS Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FIREWEED METALS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FIREWEED METALS P can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FIREWEED METALS P generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
FIREWEED METALS P has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock

FIREWEED METALS Technical Analysis

FIREWEED METALS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FIREWEED Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FIREWEED METALS P. In general, you should focus on analyzing FIREWEED Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FIREWEED METALS Predictive Forecast Models

FIREWEED METALS's time-series forecasting models is one of many FIREWEED METALS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FIREWEED METALS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FIREWEED METALS P

Checking the ongoing alerts about FIREWEED METALS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FIREWEED METALS P help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FIREWEED METALS P generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
FIREWEED METALS P has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock

Other Information on Investing in FIREWEED Stock

FIREWEED METALS financial ratios help investors to determine whether FIREWEED Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FIREWEED with respect to the benefits of owning FIREWEED METALS security.