Media (Sweden) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 35.82

M8G Stock  SEK 46.85  1.55  3.42%   
Media's future price is the expected price of Media instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Media and Games performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Media Backtesting, Media Valuation, Media Correlation, Media Hype Analysis, Media Volatility, Media History as well as Media Performance.
  
Please specify Media's target price for which you would like Media odds to be computed.

Media Target Price Odds to finish over 35.82

The tendency of Media Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above kr 35.82  in 90 days
 46.85 90 days 35.82 
about 84.07
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Media to stay above kr 35.82  in 90 days from now is about 84.07 (This Media and Games probability density function shows the probability of Media Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Media and Games price to stay between kr 35.82  and its current price of kr46.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.66 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Media has a beta of 0.0688. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Media average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Media and Games will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Media and Games has an alpha of 0.4925, implying that it can generate a 0.49 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Media Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Media

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Media and Games. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
43.7846.8549.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.2240.2951.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
41.5344.6047.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
42.8645.2747.69
Details

Media Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Media is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Media's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Media and Games, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Media within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.49
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.07
σ
Overall volatility
3.71
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Media Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Media for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Media and Games can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Media and Games appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Media and Games has accumulated 343.93 M in total debt. Media and Games has a current ratio of 0.71, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Media until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Media's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Media and Games sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Media to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Media's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 30.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Media Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Media Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding149.7 M

Media Technical Analysis

Media's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Media Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Media and Games. In general, you should focus on analyzing Media Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Media Predictive Forecast Models

Media's time-series forecasting models is one of many Media's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Media's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Media and Games

Checking the ongoing alerts about Media for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Media and Games help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Media and Games appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Media and Games has accumulated 343.93 M in total debt. Media and Games has a current ratio of 0.71, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Media until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Media's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Media and Games sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Media to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Media's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 30.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Media Stock Analysis

When running Media's price analysis, check to measure Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Media is operating at the current time. Most of Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.