Marmaris Altinyunus (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1018.6
| MAALT Stock | TRY 863.50 40.00 4.86% |
Marmaris |
Marmaris Altinyunus Target Price Odds to finish below 1018.6
The tendency of Marmaris Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 1,019 after 90 days |
| 863.50 | 90 days | 1,019 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Marmaris Altinyunus to stay under 1,019 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Marmaris Altinyunus Turistik probability density function shows the probability of Marmaris Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Marmaris Altinyunus price to stay between its current price of 863.50 and 1,019 at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.91 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Marmaris Altinyunus has a beta of 0.81. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Marmaris Altinyunus average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Marmaris Altinyunus Turistik will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Marmaris Altinyunus Turistik has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Marmaris Altinyunus Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Marmaris Altinyunus
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marmaris Altinyunus. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Marmaris Altinyunus' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Marmaris Altinyunus Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Marmaris Altinyunus is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Marmaris Altinyunus' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Marmaris Altinyunus Turistik, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Marmaris Altinyunus within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.81 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 54.99 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Marmaris Altinyunus Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Marmaris Altinyunus for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Marmaris Altinyunus can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Marmaris Altinyunus generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 66.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Marmaris Altinyunus Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Marmaris Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Marmaris Altinyunus' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marmaris Altinyunus' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.3 M |
Marmaris Altinyunus Technical Analysis
Marmaris Altinyunus' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Marmaris Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Marmaris Altinyunus Turistik. In general, you should focus on analyzing Marmaris Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Marmaris Altinyunus Predictive Forecast Models
Marmaris Altinyunus' time-series forecasting models is one of many Marmaris Altinyunus' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Marmaris Altinyunus' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Marmaris Altinyunus
Checking the ongoing alerts about Marmaris Altinyunus for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Marmaris Altinyunus help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Marmaris Altinyunus generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 66.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Marmaris Stock
Marmaris Altinyunus financial ratios help investors to determine whether Marmaris Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Marmaris with respect to the benefits of owning Marmaris Altinyunus security.