Mitchells Butlers (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 309.5
| MAB Stock | 242.50 0.50 0.21% |
Mitchells |
Mitchells Butlers Target Price Odds to finish below 309.5
The tendency of Mitchells Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 309.50 after 90 days |
| 242.50 | 90 days | 309.50 | about 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mitchells Butlers to stay under 309.50 after 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Mitchells Butlers PLC probability density function shows the probability of Mitchells Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mitchells Butlers PLC price to stay between its current price of 242.50 and 309.50 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.03 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mitchells Butlers has a beta of 0.0901. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Mitchells Butlers average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mitchells Butlers PLC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mitchells Butlers PLC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Mitchells Butlers Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mitchells Butlers
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mitchells Butlers PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mitchells Butlers Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mitchells Butlers is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mitchells Butlers' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mitchells Butlers PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mitchells Butlers within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 23.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
Mitchells Butlers Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mitchells Butlers for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mitchells Butlers PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mitchells Butlers generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.5 B. Net Loss for the year was (4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 372 M. | |
| About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Mitchells Butlers Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mitchells Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mitchells Butlers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mitchells Butlers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 595 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 126 M |
Mitchells Butlers Technical Analysis
Mitchells Butlers' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mitchells Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mitchells Butlers PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mitchells Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mitchells Butlers Predictive Forecast Models
Mitchells Butlers' time-series forecasting models is one of many Mitchells Butlers' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mitchells Butlers' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mitchells Butlers PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mitchells Butlers for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mitchells Butlers PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mitchells Butlers generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.5 B. Net Loss for the year was (4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 372 M. | |
| About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Mitchells Stock
Mitchells Butlers financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mitchells Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mitchells with respect to the benefits of owning Mitchells Butlers security.