Melar Acquisition Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.11
| MACIW Stock | 0.11 0.00 0.00% |
Melar |
Melar Acquisition Target Price Odds to finish below 0.11
The tendency of Melar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 0.11 | 90 days | 0.11 | about 49.85 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Melar Acquisition to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 49.85 (This Melar Acquisition Corp probability density function shows the probability of Melar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Melar Acquisition Corp has a beta of -1.67. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Melar Acquisition Corp are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Melar Acquisition is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover Melar Acquisition Corp has an alpha of 1.1436, implying that it can generate a 1.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Melar Acquisition Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Melar Acquisition
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Melar Acquisition Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Melar Acquisition Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Melar Acquisition is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Melar Acquisition's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Melar Acquisition Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Melar Acquisition within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Melar Acquisition Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Melar Acquisition for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Melar Acquisition Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Melar Acquisition is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Melar Acquisition has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Melar Acquisition appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Polar Asset Management Partners Inc. Acquires New Stake in Melar Acquisition Corp I - GuruFocus.com |
Melar Acquisition Technical Analysis
Melar Acquisition's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Melar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Melar Acquisition Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Melar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Melar Acquisition Predictive Forecast Models
Melar Acquisition's time-series forecasting models is one of many Melar Acquisition's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Melar Acquisition's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Melar Acquisition Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Melar Acquisition for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Melar Acquisition Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Melar Acquisition is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Melar Acquisition has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Melar Acquisition appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Polar Asset Management Partners Inc. Acquires New Stake in Melar Acquisition Corp I - GuruFocus.com |
Additional Tools for Melar Stock Analysis
When running Melar Acquisition's price analysis, check to measure Melar Acquisition's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Melar Acquisition is operating at the current time. Most of Melar Acquisition's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Melar Acquisition's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Melar Acquisition's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Melar Acquisition to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.