Mader Group Limited Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 3.53
| MADGF Stock | 3.57 0.00 0.00% |
Mader |
Mader Group Target Price Odds to finish over 3.53
The tendency of Mader Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 3.53 in 90 days |
| 3.57 | 90 days | 3.53 | about 51.9 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mader Group to stay above 3.53 in 90 days from now is about 51.9 (This Mader Group Limited probability density function shows the probability of Mader Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mader Group Limited price to stay between 3.53 and its current price of 3.57 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.58 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Mader Group Limited has a beta of -0.2. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mader Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mader Group Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mader Group Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Mader Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mader Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mader Group Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mader Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mader Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mader Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mader Group Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mader Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Mader Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mader Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mader Group Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mader Group Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 80.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Mader Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mader Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mader Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mader Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.01 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.03 | |
| Shares Float | 42.1 M |
Mader Group Technical Analysis
Mader Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mader Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mader Group Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mader Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mader Group Predictive Forecast Models
Mader Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mader Group's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mader Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mader Group Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mader Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mader Group Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mader Group Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 80.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Mader Pink Sheet
Mader Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mader Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mader with respect to the benefits of owning Mader Group security.