Mineral Financial (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.59
| MAFL Stock | 10.25 0.50 4.65% |
Mineral |
Mineral Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 8.59
The tendency of Mineral Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 8.59 or more in 90 days |
| 10.25 | 90 days | 8.59 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mineral Financial to drop to 8.59 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Mineral Financial Investments probability density function shows the probability of Mineral Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mineral Financial price to stay between 8.59 and its current price of 10.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.58 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mineral Financial has a beta of 0.46. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Mineral Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mineral Financial Investments will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mineral Financial Investments has an alpha of 0.0023, implying that it can generate a 0.002257 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Mineral Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mineral Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mineral Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mineral Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mineral Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mineral Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mineral Financial Investments, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mineral Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Mineral Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mineral Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mineral Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mineral Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Mineral Financial is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Mineral Financial generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Spotlight On 3 UK Penny Stocks With Market Caps Over 2M - Yahoo Finance |
Mineral Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mineral Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mineral Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mineral Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.7 M |
Mineral Financial Technical Analysis
Mineral Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mineral Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mineral Financial Investments. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mineral Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mineral Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Mineral Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mineral Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mineral Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mineral Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mineral Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mineral Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mineral Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Mineral Financial is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Mineral Financial generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Spotlight On 3 UK Penny Stocks With Market Caps Over 2M - Yahoo Finance |
Additional Tools for Mineral Stock Analysis
When running Mineral Financial's price analysis, check to measure Mineral Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mineral Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Mineral Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mineral Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mineral Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mineral Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.