MAGURO GROUP (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 22.52
| MAGURO Stock | 20.70 0.10 0.48% |
MAGURO |
MAGURO GROUP Target Price Odds to finish over 22.52
The tendency of MAGURO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 22.52 or more in 90 days |
| 20.70 | 90 days | 22.52 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MAGURO GROUP to move over 22.52 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This MAGURO GROUP PUBLIC probability density function shows the probability of MAGURO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MAGURO GROUP PUBLIC price to stay between its current price of 20.70 and 22.52 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MAGURO GROUP PUBLIC has a beta of -0.25. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding MAGURO GROUP are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, MAGURO GROUP PUBLIC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally MAGURO GROUP PUBLIC has an alpha of 0.3399, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). MAGURO GROUP Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for MAGURO GROUP
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MAGURO GROUP PUBLIC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MAGURO GROUP Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MAGURO GROUP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MAGURO GROUP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MAGURO GROUP PUBLIC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MAGURO GROUP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
MAGURO GROUP Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MAGURO GROUP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MAGURO GROUP PUBLIC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MAGURO GROUP PUBLIC had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
MAGURO GROUP Technical Analysis
MAGURO GROUP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MAGURO Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MAGURO GROUP PUBLIC. In general, you should focus on analyzing MAGURO Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MAGURO GROUP Predictive Forecast Models
MAGURO GROUP's time-series forecasting models is one of many MAGURO GROUP's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MAGURO GROUP's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MAGURO GROUP PUBLIC
Checking the ongoing alerts about MAGURO GROUP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MAGURO GROUP PUBLIC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MAGURO GROUP PUBLIC had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |