PT Mandiri (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 184.80
| MAHA Stock | 179.00 1.00 0.56% |
MAHA |
PT Mandiri Target Price Odds to finish below 184.80
The tendency of MAHA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 184.80 after 90 days |
| 179.00 | 90 days | 184.80 | about 51.01 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PT Mandiri to stay under 184.80 after 90 days from now is about 51.01 (This PT Mandiri Herindo probability density function shows the probability of MAHA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PT Mandiri Herindo price to stay between its current price of 179.00 and 184.80 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.98 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PT Mandiri has a beta of 0.0344. This indicates as returns on the market go up, PT Mandiri average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PT Mandiri Herindo will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PT Mandiri Herindo has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. PT Mandiri Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for PT Mandiri
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PT Mandiri Herindo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PT Mandiri Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PT Mandiri is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PT Mandiri's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PT Mandiri Herindo, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PT Mandiri within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
PT Mandiri Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PT Mandiri for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PT Mandiri Herindo can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| PT Mandiri Herindo generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
PT Mandiri Technical Analysis
PT Mandiri's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MAHA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PT Mandiri Herindo. In general, you should focus on analyzing MAHA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
PT Mandiri Predictive Forecast Models
PT Mandiri's time-series forecasting models is one of many PT Mandiri's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PT Mandiri's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about PT Mandiri Herindo
Checking the ongoing alerts about PT Mandiri for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PT Mandiri Herindo help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| PT Mandiri Herindo generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |