Mahindra Logistics (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 380.29
| MAHLOG Stock | 388.80 0.95 0.24% |
Mahindra |
Mahindra Logistics Target Price Odds to finish over 380.29
The tendency of Mahindra Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 380.29 in 90 days |
| 388.80 | 90 days | 380.29 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mahindra Logistics to stay above 380.29 in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Mahindra Logistics Limited probability density function shows the probability of Mahindra Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mahindra Logistics price to stay between 380.29 and its current price of 388.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.48 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mahindra Logistics Limited has a beta of -0.0139. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mahindra Logistics are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mahindra Logistics Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mahindra Logistics Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Mahindra Logistics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mahindra Logistics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mahindra Logistics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mahindra Logistics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mahindra Logistics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mahindra Logistics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mahindra Logistics Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mahindra Logistics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 40.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.25 |
Mahindra Logistics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mahindra Logistics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mahindra Logistics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mahindra Logistics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 55.06 B. Net Loss for the year was (263.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.03 B. | |
| About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Mahindra Logistics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mahindra Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mahindra Logistics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mahindra Logistics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 72 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 769.3 M |
Mahindra Logistics Technical Analysis
Mahindra Logistics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mahindra Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mahindra Logistics Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mahindra Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mahindra Logistics Predictive Forecast Models
Mahindra Logistics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Mahindra Logistics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mahindra Logistics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mahindra Logistics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mahindra Logistics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mahindra Logistics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mahindra Logistics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 55.06 B. Net Loss for the year was (263.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.03 B. | |
| About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Mahindra Stock
Mahindra Logistics financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mahindra Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mahindra with respect to the benefits of owning Mahindra Logistics security.