Malindo Feedmill (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 759.88
| MAIN Stock | IDR 760.00 5.00 0.66% |
Malindo |
Malindo Feedmill Target Price Odds to finish over 759.88
The tendency of Malindo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 759.88 in 90 days |
| 760.00 | 90 days | 759.88 | about 80.98 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Malindo Feedmill to stay above 759.88 in 90 days from now is about 80.98 (This Malindo Feedmill Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Malindo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Malindo Feedmill Tbk price to stay between 759.88 and its current price of 760.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Malindo Feedmill Tbk has a beta of -1.25. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Malindo Feedmill Tbk are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Malindo Feedmill is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Malindo Feedmill Tbk has an alpha of 0.0451, implying that it can generate a 0.0451 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Malindo Feedmill Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Malindo Feedmill
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Malindo Feedmill Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Malindo Feedmill Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Malindo Feedmill is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Malindo Feedmill's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Malindo Feedmill Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Malindo Feedmill within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 40.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Malindo Feedmill Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Malindo Feedmill for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Malindo Feedmill Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Malindo Feedmill Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Malindo Feedmill generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Malindo Feedmill Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Malindo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Malindo Feedmill's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Malindo Feedmill's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 179.7 B |
Malindo Feedmill Technical Analysis
Malindo Feedmill's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Malindo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Malindo Feedmill Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Malindo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Malindo Feedmill Predictive Forecast Models
Malindo Feedmill's time-series forecasting models is one of many Malindo Feedmill's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Malindo Feedmill's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Malindo Feedmill Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Malindo Feedmill for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Malindo Feedmill Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Malindo Feedmill Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Malindo Feedmill generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Malindo Stock
Malindo Feedmill financial ratios help investors to determine whether Malindo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Malindo with respect to the benefits of owning Malindo Feedmill security.