Maj Invest (Denmark) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 102.94

MAJGS Fund  DKK 106.84  0.31  0.29%   
Maj Invest's future price is the expected price of Maj Invest instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Maj Invest performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Maj Invest Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Maj Invest Correlation, Maj Invest Hype Analysis, Maj Invest Volatility, Maj Invest History as well as Maj Invest Performance.
  
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Maj Invest Target Price Odds to finish below 102.94

The tendency of Maj Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 102.94  or more in 90 days
 106.84 90 days 102.94 
about 1.15
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Maj Invest to drop to kr 102.94  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.15 (This Maj Invest probability density function shows the probability of Maj Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Maj Invest price to stay between kr 102.94  and its current price of kr106.84 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.63 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Maj Invest has a beta of 0.22. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Maj Invest average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Maj Invest will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Maj Invest has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Maj Invest Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Maj Invest

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Maj Invest. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Maj Invest's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
105.72106.53107.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
105.78106.59107.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
107.16107.97108.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
102.08104.95107.82
Details

Maj Invest Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Maj Invest is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Maj Invest's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Maj Invest , one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Maj Invest within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.22
σ
Overall volatility
2.00
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

Maj Invest Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Maj Invest for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Maj Invest can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Maj Invest generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Maj Invest Technical Analysis

Maj Invest's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Maj Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Maj Invest . In general, you should focus on analyzing Maj Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Maj Invest Predictive Forecast Models

Maj Invest's time-series forecasting models is one of many Maj Invest's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Maj Invest's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Maj Invest

Checking the ongoing alerts about Maj Invest for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Maj Invest help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Maj Invest generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Maj Fund

Maj Invest financial ratios help investors to determine whether Maj Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Maj with respect to the benefits of owning Maj Invest security.
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