Marks Spencer Group Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 9.39

MAKSY Stock  USD 9.57  0.10  1.06%   
Marks Spencer's future price is the expected price of Marks Spencer instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Marks Spencer Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Marks Spencer Backtesting, Marks Spencer Valuation, Marks Spencer Correlation, Marks Spencer Hype Analysis, Marks Spencer Volatility, Marks Spencer History as well as Marks Spencer Performance.
  
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Marks Spencer Target Price Odds to finish below 9.39

The tendency of Marks OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 9.39  or more in 90 days
 9.57 90 days 9.39 
about 25.69
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Marks Spencer to drop to $ 9.39  or more in 90 days from now is about 25.69 (This Marks Spencer Group probability density function shows the probability of Marks OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Marks Spencer Group price to stay between $ 9.39  and its current price of $9.57 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.55 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Marks Spencer has a beta of 0.75. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Marks Spencer average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Marks Spencer Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Marks Spencer Group has an alpha of 0.0734, implying that it can generate a 0.0734 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Marks Spencer Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Marks Spencer

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marks Spencer Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Marks Spencer's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.929.5711.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.969.6111.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.749.3911.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.229.469.71
Details

Marks Spencer Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Marks Spencer is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Marks Spencer's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Marks Spencer Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Marks Spencer within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.75
σ
Overall volatility
0.51
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Marks Spencer Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Marks Spencer for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Marks Spencer Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Marks Spencer Group has accumulated 1.48 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.31, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Marks Spencer Group has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Marks Spencer until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Marks Spencer's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Marks Spencer Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Marks to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Marks Spencer's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Marks Spencer Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Marks OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Marks Spencer's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marks Spencer's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB

Marks Spencer Technical Analysis

Marks Spencer's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Marks OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Marks Spencer Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Marks OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Marks Spencer Predictive Forecast Models

Marks Spencer's time-series forecasting models is one of many Marks Spencer's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Marks Spencer's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Marks Spencer Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Marks Spencer for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Marks Spencer Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Marks Spencer Group has accumulated 1.48 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.31, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Marks Spencer Group has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Marks Spencer until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Marks Spencer's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Marks Spencer Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Marks to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Marks Spencer's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Additional Tools for Marks OTC Stock Analysis

When running Marks Spencer's price analysis, check to measure Marks Spencer's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Marks Spencer is operating at the current time. Most of Marks Spencer's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Marks Spencer's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Marks Spencer's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Marks Spencer to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.