Mainstay Map Equity Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 32.36

MAPAX Fund  USD 32.45  0.23  0.70%   
Mainstay Map's future price is the expected price of Mainstay Map instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mainstay Map Equity performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mainstay Map Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Mainstay Map Correlation, Mainstay Map Hype Analysis, Mainstay Map Volatility, Mainstay Map History as well as Mainstay Map Performance.
  
Please specify Mainstay Map's target price for which you would like Mainstay Map odds to be computed.

Mainstay Map Target Price Odds to finish over 32.36

The tendency of Mainstay Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 32.36  in 90 days
 32.45 90 days 32.36 
nearly 4.6
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mainstay Map to stay above $ 32.36  in 90 days from now is nearly 4.6 (This Mainstay Map Equity probability density function shows the probability of Mainstay Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mainstay Map Equity price to stay between $ 32.36  and its current price of $32.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.4 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Mainstay Map Equity has a beta of -0.0756. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mainstay Map are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mainstay Map Equity is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mainstay Map Equity has an alpha of 0.0879, implying that it can generate a 0.0879 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Mainstay Map Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mainstay Map

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mainstay Map Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.7732.4533.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.4131.0935.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
31.4432.1232.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
32.0232.3432.66
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mainstay Map. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mainstay Map's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mainstay Map's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mainstay Map Equity.

Mainstay Map Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mainstay Map is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mainstay Map's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mainstay Map Equity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mainstay Map within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.54
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Mainstay Map Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mainstay Map for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mainstay Map Equity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 97.74% of its assets in stocks

Mainstay Map Technical Analysis

Mainstay Map's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mainstay Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mainstay Map Equity. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mainstay Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mainstay Map Predictive Forecast Models

Mainstay Map's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mainstay Map's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mainstay Map's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mainstay Map Equity

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mainstay Map for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mainstay Map Equity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 97.74% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Mainstay Mutual Fund

Mainstay Map financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mainstay Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mainstay with respect to the benefits of owning Mainstay Map security.
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