Mitra Adiperkasa (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1512.23
| MAPI Stock | IDR 1,575 75.00 5.00% |
Mitra |
Mitra Adiperkasa Target Price Odds to finish over 1512.23
The tendency of Mitra Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 1,512 in 90 days |
| 1,575 | 90 days | 1,512 | about 82.13 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mitra Adiperkasa to stay above 1,512 in 90 days from now is about 82.13 (This Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Mitra Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk price to stay between 1,512 and its current price of 1575.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.09 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk has a beta of -0.62. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mitra Adiperkasa are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk has an alpha of 0.1707, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Mitra Adiperkasa Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mitra Adiperkasa
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mitra Adiperkasa Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mitra Adiperkasa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mitra Adiperkasa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mitra Adiperkasa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.62 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 130.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Mitra Adiperkasa Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mitra Adiperkasa for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Mitra Adiperkasa Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mitra Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mitra Adiperkasa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mitra Adiperkasa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.1 T |
Mitra Adiperkasa Technical Analysis
Mitra Adiperkasa's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mitra Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mitra Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mitra Adiperkasa Predictive Forecast Models
Mitra Adiperkasa's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mitra Adiperkasa's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mitra Adiperkasa's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mitra Adiperkasa for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Mitra Stock
Mitra Adiperkasa financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mitra Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mitra with respect to the benefits of owning Mitra Adiperkasa security.