Macquarie Technology (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 86.74

MAQ Stock   86.74  1.31  1.49%   
Macquarie Technology's future price is the expected price of Macquarie Technology instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Macquarie Technology Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Macquarie Technology Backtesting, Macquarie Technology Valuation, Macquarie Technology Correlation, Macquarie Technology Hype Analysis, Macquarie Technology Volatility, Macquarie Technology History as well as Macquarie Technology Performance.
  
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Macquarie Technology Target Price Odds to finish over 86.74

The tendency of Macquarie Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 86.74 90 days 86.74 
about 19.63
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Macquarie Technology to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 19.63 (This Macquarie Technology Group probability density function shows the probability of Macquarie Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Macquarie Technology has a beta of 0.51. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Macquarie Technology average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Macquarie Technology Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Macquarie Technology Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Macquarie Technology Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Macquarie Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Macquarie Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
84.9086.7488.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
83.2085.0386.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
82.4084.2486.08
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.140.200.24
Details

Macquarie Technology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Macquarie Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Macquarie Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Macquarie Technology Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Macquarie Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.51
σ
Overall volatility
4.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Macquarie Technology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Macquarie Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Macquarie Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Macquarie Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Regal Funds Gains Stake in Macquarie Technology - TipRanks

Macquarie Technology Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Macquarie Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Macquarie Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Macquarie Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding24.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments84.8 M

Macquarie Technology Technical Analysis

Macquarie Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Macquarie Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Macquarie Technology Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Macquarie Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Macquarie Technology Predictive Forecast Models

Macquarie Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Macquarie Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Macquarie Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Macquarie Technology

Checking the ongoing alerts about Macquarie Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Macquarie Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Macquarie Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Regal Funds Gains Stake in Macquarie Technology - TipRanks

Additional Tools for Macquarie Stock Analysis

When running Macquarie Technology's price analysis, check to measure Macquarie Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Macquarie Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Macquarie Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Macquarie Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Macquarie Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Macquarie Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.