Mahaka Radio (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 45.57
| MARI Stock | IDR 50.00 0.00 0.00% |
Mahaka |
Mahaka Radio Target Price Odds to finish below 45.57
The tendency of Mahaka Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 45.57 or more in 90 days |
| 50.00 | 90 days | 45.57 | about 6.97 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mahaka Radio to drop to 45.57 or more in 90 days from now is about 6.97 (This Mahaka Radio Integra probability density function shows the probability of Mahaka Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mahaka Radio Integra price to stay between 45.57 and its current price of 50.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.78 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mahaka Radio has a beta of 0.75. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Mahaka Radio average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mahaka Radio Integra will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mahaka Radio Integra has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Mahaka Radio Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mahaka Radio
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mahaka Radio Integra. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mahaka Radio Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mahaka Radio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mahaka Radio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mahaka Radio Integra, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mahaka Radio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.75 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.99 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Mahaka Radio Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mahaka Radio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mahaka Radio Integra can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mahaka Radio Integra had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 69.66 B. Net Loss for the year was (19.74 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 68.19 B. | |
| Mahaka Radio generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Mahaka Radio Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mahaka Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mahaka Radio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mahaka Radio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 37.7 B |
Mahaka Radio Technical Analysis
Mahaka Radio's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mahaka Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mahaka Radio Integra. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mahaka Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mahaka Radio Predictive Forecast Models
Mahaka Radio's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mahaka Radio's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mahaka Radio's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mahaka Radio Integra
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mahaka Radio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mahaka Radio Integra help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mahaka Radio Integra had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 69.66 B. Net Loss for the year was (19.74 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 68.19 B. | |
| Mahaka Radio generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Mahaka Stock
Mahaka Radio financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mahaka Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mahaka with respect to the benefits of owning Mahaka Radio security.