MAS Financial (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 276.30

MASFIN Stock   277.75  0.25  0.09%   
MAS Financial's future price is the expected price of MAS Financial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of MAS Financial Services performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out MAS Financial Backtesting, MAS Financial Valuation, MAS Financial Correlation, MAS Financial Hype Analysis, MAS Financial Volatility, MAS Financial History as well as MAS Financial Performance.
  
Please specify MAS Financial's target price for which you would like MAS Financial odds to be computed.

MAS Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 276.30

The tendency of MAS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  276.30  or more in 90 days
 277.75 90 days 276.30 
nearly 4.2
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MAS Financial to drop to  276.30  or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.2 (This MAS Financial Services probability density function shows the probability of MAS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MAS Financial Services price to stay between  276.30  and its current price of 277.75 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.14 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MAS Financial has a beta of 0.25. This indicates as returns on the market go up, MAS Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding MAS Financial Services will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally MAS Financial Services has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   MAS Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for MAS Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MAS Financial Services. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
276.15277.89279.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
242.90244.64305.80
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
9.229.229.22
Details

MAS Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MAS Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MAS Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MAS Financial Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MAS Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.25
σ
Overall volatility
7.31
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

MAS Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MAS Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MAS Financial Services can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MAS Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
MAS Financial Services has accumulated about 8.04 B in cash with (13.66 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

MAS Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MAS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MAS Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MAS Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding164 M
Cash And Short Term Investments14.2 B

MAS Financial Technical Analysis

MAS Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MAS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MAS Financial Services. In general, you should focus on analyzing MAS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

MAS Financial Predictive Forecast Models

MAS Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many MAS Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MAS Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about MAS Financial Services

Checking the ongoing alerts about MAS Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MAS Financial Services help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MAS Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
MAS Financial Services has accumulated about 8.04 B in cash with (13.66 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in MAS Stock

MAS Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether MAS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MAS with respect to the benefits of owning MAS Financial security.