Master Style (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 41.54
| MASTER Stock | 43.25 0.25 0.57% |
Master |
Master Style Target Price Odds to finish below 41.54
The tendency of Master Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 41.54 or more in 90 days |
| 43.25 | 90 days | 41.54 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Master Style to drop to 41.54 or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Master Style PCL probability density function shows the probability of Master Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Master Style PCL price to stay between 41.54 and its current price of 43.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.32 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Master Style has a beta of 0.12. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Master Style average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Master Style PCL will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Master Style PCL has an alpha of 0.0343, implying that it can generate a 0.0343 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Master Style Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Master Style
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Master Style PCL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Master Style's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Master Style Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Master Style is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Master Style's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Master Style PCL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Master Style within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.67 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Master Style Technical Analysis
Master Style's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Master Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Master Style PCL. In general, you should focus on analyzing Master Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Master Style Predictive Forecast Models
Master Style's time-series forecasting models is one of many Master Style's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Master Style's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Master Style in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Master Style's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Master Style options trading.