Metalpha Technology Holding Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 1.14
| MATH Etf | USD 0.93 0.06 6.06% |
Metalpha |
Metalpha Technology Target Price Odds to finish below 1.14
The tendency of Metalpha Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 1.14 after 90 days |
| 0.93 | 90 days | 1.14 | about 45.29 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Metalpha Technology to stay under $ 1.14 after 90 days from now is about 45.29 (This Metalpha Technology Holding probability density function shows the probability of Metalpha Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Metalpha Technology price to stay between its current price of $ 0.93 and $ 1.14 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.84 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.1 . This indicates Metalpha Technology Holding market returns are responsive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Metalpha Technology is expected to follow. Additionally Metalpha Technology Holding has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Metalpha Technology Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Metalpha Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Metalpha Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Metalpha Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Metalpha Technology Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Metalpha Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Metalpha Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Metalpha Technology Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Metalpha Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.10 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Metalpha Technology Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Metalpha Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Metalpha Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Metalpha Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Metalpha Technology has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Metalpha Technology has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 16.76 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.68 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.7 M. | |
| Metalpha Technology generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 37.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: A Chinese lab has released a reasoning AI model to rival OpenAIs o1 | |
| The fund maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments |
Metalpha Technology Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Metalpha Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Metalpha Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Metalpha Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 34.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 174.5 M |
Metalpha Technology Technical Analysis
Metalpha Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Metalpha Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Metalpha Technology Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Metalpha Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Metalpha Technology Predictive Forecast Models
Metalpha Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Metalpha Technology's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Metalpha Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Metalpha Technology
Checking the ongoing alerts about Metalpha Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Metalpha Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Metalpha Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Metalpha Technology has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Metalpha Technology has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 16.76 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.68 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.7 M. | |
| Metalpha Technology generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 37.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: A Chinese lab has released a reasoning AI model to rival OpenAIs o1 | |
| The fund maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments |
Other Information on Investing in Metalpha Etf
Metalpha Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether Metalpha Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Metalpha with respect to the benefits of owning Metalpha Technology security.