Magnetic Resources (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.06
| MAU Stock | 1.20 0.05 4.00% |
Magnetic |
Magnetic Resources Target Price Odds to finish below 0.06
The tendency of Magnetic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.06 or more in 90 days |
| 1.20 | 90 days | 0.06 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Magnetic Resources to drop to 0.06 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Magnetic Resources NL probability density function shows the probability of Magnetic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Magnetic Resources price to stay between 0.06 and its current price of 1.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.13 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Magnetic Resources has a beta of 0.56. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Magnetic Resources average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Magnetic Resources NL will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Magnetic Resources NL has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Magnetic Resources Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Magnetic Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Magnetic Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Magnetic Resources Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Magnetic Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Magnetic Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Magnetic Resources NL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Magnetic Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.44 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Magnetic Resources Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Magnetic Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Magnetic Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Magnetic Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Magnetic Resources may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Magnetic Resources has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Magnetic Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 502.97 K. Net Loss for the year was (12.34 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 480. | |
| Magnetic Resources NL has accumulated about 24.83 K in cash with (2.04 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Magnetic Resources Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Magnetic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Magnetic Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Magnetic Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 233.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.2 M |
Magnetic Resources Technical Analysis
Magnetic Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Magnetic Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Magnetic Resources NL. In general, you should focus on analyzing Magnetic Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Magnetic Resources Predictive Forecast Models
Magnetic Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Magnetic Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Magnetic Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Magnetic Resources
Checking the ongoing alerts about Magnetic Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Magnetic Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Magnetic Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Magnetic Resources may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Magnetic Resources has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Magnetic Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 502.97 K. Net Loss for the year was (12.34 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 480. | |
| Magnetic Resources NL has accumulated about 24.83 K in cash with (2.04 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Magnetic Stock Analysis
When running Magnetic Resources' price analysis, check to measure Magnetic Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Magnetic Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Magnetic Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Magnetic Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Magnetic Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Magnetic Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.