Mawson Gold Limited Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.05
| MAW Stock | 1.02 0.01 0.99% |
Mawson |
Mawson Gold Target Price Odds to finish below 0.05
The tendency of Mawson Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.05 or more in 90 days |
| 1.02 | 90 days | 0.05 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mawson Gold to drop to 0.05 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Mawson Gold Limited probability density function shows the probability of Mawson Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mawson Gold Limited price to stay between 0.05 and its current price of 1.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.95 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Mawson Gold has a beta of 0.69. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Mawson Gold average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mawson Gold Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mawson Gold Limited has an alpha of 0.276, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Mawson Gold Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mawson Gold
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mawson Gold Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mawson Gold Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mawson Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mawson Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mawson Gold Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mawson Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.69 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.1 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Mawson Gold Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mawson Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mawson Gold Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mawson Gold Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Mawson Gold Limited had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Mawson Gold Limited has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years |
Mawson Gold Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mawson Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mawson Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mawson Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Float | 297.4 M |
Mawson Gold Technical Analysis
Mawson Gold's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mawson Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mawson Gold Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mawson Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mawson Gold Predictive Forecast Models
Mawson Gold's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mawson Gold's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mawson Gold's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mawson Gold Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mawson Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mawson Gold Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mawson Gold Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Mawson Gold Limited had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Mawson Gold Limited has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years |
Additional Tools for Mawson Stock Analysis
When running Mawson Gold's price analysis, check to measure Mawson Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mawson Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Mawson Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mawson Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mawson Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mawson Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.