Itafos Inc Stock Chance of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 1.0
| MBCF Stock | USD 1.18 0.07 5.60% |
Itafos |
Itafos Target Price Odds to finish over 1.0
The tendency of Itafos Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 1.00 in 90 days |
| 1.18 | 90 days | 1.00 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Itafos to stay above $ 1.00 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Itafos Inc probability density function shows the probability of Itafos Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Itafos Inc price to stay between $ 1.00 and its current price of $1.18 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.92 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Itafos has a beta of 0.66. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Itafos average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Itafos Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Itafos Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Itafos Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Itafos
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Itafos Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Itafos' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Itafos Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Itafos is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Itafos' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Itafos Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Itafos within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.66 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Itafos Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Itafos for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Itafos Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Itafos Inc may become a speculative penny stock | |
| About 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Itafos Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Itafos Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Itafos' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Itafos' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 186.8 M |
Itafos Technical Analysis
Itafos' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Itafos Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Itafos Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Itafos Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Itafos Predictive Forecast Models
Itafos' time-series forecasting models is one of many Itafos' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Itafos' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Itafos Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Itafos for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Itafos Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Itafos Inc may become a speculative penny stock | |
| About 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Itafos Pink Sheet
Itafos financial ratios help investors to determine whether Itafos Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Itafos with respect to the benefits of owning Itafos security.