Mercedes Benz Group Ag Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 10.34
| MBGYY Stock | USD 13.76 0.12 0.88% |
Mercedes |
Mercedes Benz Target Price Odds to finish below 10.34
The tendency of Mercedes Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 10.34 or more in 90 days |
| 13.76 | 90 days | 10.34 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mercedes Benz to drop to $ 10.34 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Mercedes Benz Group AG probability density function shows the probability of Mercedes Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mercedes Benz Group price to stay between $ 10.34 and its current price of $13.76 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.74 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Mercedes Benz Group AG has a beta of -0.27. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mercedes Benz are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mercedes Benz Group AG is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mercedes Benz Group AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Mercedes Benz Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mercedes Benz
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mercedes Benz Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mercedes Benz's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mercedes Benz Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mercedes Benz is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mercedes Benz's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mercedes Benz Group AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mercedes Benz within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.25 |
Mercedes Benz Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mercedes Benz for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mercedes Benz Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mercedes Benz Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Mercedes Benz Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mercedes Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mercedes Benz's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mercedes Benz's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 29.9 B |
Mercedes Benz Technical Analysis
Mercedes Benz's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mercedes Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mercedes Benz Group AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mercedes Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mercedes Benz Predictive Forecast Models
Mercedes Benz's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mercedes Benz's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mercedes Benz's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mercedes Benz Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mercedes Benz for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mercedes Benz Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mercedes Benz Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for Mercedes Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Mercedes Benz's price analysis, check to measure Mercedes Benz's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mercedes Benz is operating at the current time. Most of Mercedes Benz's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mercedes Benz's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mercedes Benz's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mercedes Benz to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.