MBK Public (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.8
| MBK-R Stock | THB 18.20 0.00 0.00% |
MBK |
MBK Public Target Price Odds to finish below 18.8
The tendency of MBK Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 18.80 after 90 days |
| 18.20 | 90 days | 18.80 | about 55.77 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MBK Public to stay under 18.80 after 90 days from now is about 55.77 (This MBK Public probability density function shows the probability of MBK Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MBK Public price to stay between its current price of 18.20 and 18.80 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.84 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MBK Public has a beta of -22.47. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding MBK Public are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, MBK Public is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that MBK Public has an alpha of 17.009, implying that it can generate a 17.01 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). MBK Public Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MBK Public
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MBK Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MBK Public Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MBK Public is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MBK Public's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MBK Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MBK Public within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 17.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -22.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
MBK Public Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MBK Public for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MBK Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MBK Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| MBK Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 7.63 B. Net Loss for the year was (804.48 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.77 B. |
MBK Public Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MBK Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MBK Public's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MBK Public's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B |
MBK Public Technical Analysis
MBK Public's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MBK Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MBK Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing MBK Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MBK Public Predictive Forecast Models
MBK Public's time-series forecasting models is one of many MBK Public's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MBK Public's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MBK Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about MBK Public for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MBK Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MBK Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| MBK Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 7.63 B. Net Loss for the year was (804.48 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.77 B. |
Other Information on Investing in MBK Stock
MBK Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether MBK Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MBK with respect to the benefits of owning MBK Public security.