Marine Bancorp Of Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 38.66

MBOF Stock  USD 39.60  0.10  0.25%   
Marine Bancorp's future price is the expected price of Marine Bancorp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Marine Bancorp of performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Marine Bancorp Backtesting, Marine Bancorp Valuation, Marine Bancorp Correlation, Marine Bancorp Hype Analysis, Marine Bancorp Volatility, Marine Bancorp History as well as Marine Bancorp Performance.
  
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Marine Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish below 38.66

The tendency of Marine Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 38.66  or more in 90 days
 39.60 90 days 38.66 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Marine Bancorp to drop to $ 38.66  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Marine Bancorp of probability density function shows the probability of Marine Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Marine Bancorp price to stay between $ 38.66  and its current price of $39.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.11 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Marine Bancorp has a beta of 0.1. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Marine Bancorp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Marine Bancorp of will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Marine Bancorp of has an alpha of 0.002, implying that it can generate a 0.002036 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Marine Bancorp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Marine Bancorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marine Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39.2539.6039.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
39.1039.4539.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
39.3039.6540.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
39.4439.5439.64
Details

Marine Bancorp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Marine Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Marine Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Marine Bancorp of, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Marine Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.10
σ
Overall volatility
0.20
Ir
Information ratio -0.27

Marine Bancorp Technical Analysis

Marine Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Marine Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Marine Bancorp of. In general, you should focus on analyzing Marine Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Marine Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models

Marine Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Marine Bancorp's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Marine Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Marine Bancorp in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Marine Bancorp's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Marine Bancorp options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Marine Pink Sheet

Marine Bancorp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Marine Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Marine with respect to the benefits of owning Marine Bancorp security.