Mountain Crest Acquisition Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.28

MCAGDelisted Stock  USD 10.90  0.30  2.68%   
Mountain Crest's future price is the expected price of Mountain Crest instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mountain Crest Acquisition performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mountain Crest Backtesting, Mountain Crest Valuation, Mountain Crest Correlation, Mountain Crest Hype Analysis, Mountain Crest Volatility, Mountain Crest History as well as Mountain Crest Performance.
  
Please specify Mountain Crest's target price for which you would like Mountain Crest odds to be computed.

Mountain Crest Target Price Odds to finish below 11.28

The tendency of Mountain Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 11.28  after 90 days
 10.90 90 days 11.28 
about 75.98
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mountain Crest to stay under $ 11.28  after 90 days from now is about 75.98 (This Mountain Crest Acquisition probability density function shows the probability of Mountain Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mountain Crest Acqui price to stay between its current price of $ 10.90  and $ 11.28  at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.24 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Mountain Crest Acquisition has a beta of -0.0392. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mountain Crest are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mountain Crest Acquisition is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mountain Crest Acquisition has an alpha of 0.0097, implying that it can generate a 0.009743 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Mountain Crest Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mountain Crest

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mountain Crest Acqui. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.1610.9011.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.629.3611.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.1310.8711.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.9511.2411.53
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mountain Crest. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mountain Crest's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mountain Crest's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mountain Crest Acqui.

Mountain Crest Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mountain Crest is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mountain Crest's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mountain Crest Acquisition, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mountain Crest within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Mountain Crest Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mountain Crest for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mountain Crest Acqui can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mountain Crest Acqui has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (2.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Mountain Crest Acquisition currently holds about 193.98 K in cash with (470.68 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.
Roughly 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Mountain Crest Acquisition Corp. V to be delisted from Nasdaq - Investing.com

Mountain Crest Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mountain Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mountain Crest's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mountain Crest's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.2 M

Mountain Crest Technical Analysis

Mountain Crest's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mountain Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mountain Crest Acquisition. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mountain Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mountain Crest Predictive Forecast Models

Mountain Crest's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mountain Crest's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mountain Crest's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mountain Crest Acqui

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mountain Crest for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mountain Crest Acqui help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mountain Crest Acqui has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (2.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Mountain Crest Acquisition currently holds about 193.98 K in cash with (470.68 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.
Roughly 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Mountain Crest Acquisition Corp. V to be delisted from Nasdaq - Investing.com

Other Consideration for investing in Mountain Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Mountain Crest Acqui check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Mountain Crest's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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