Madison County Financial Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 25.25
| MCBKDelisted Stock | USD 29.36 0.00 0.00% |
Madison |
Madison County Target Price Odds to finish over 25.25
The tendency of Madison Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 25.25 in 90 days |
| 29.36 | 90 days | 25.25 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Madison County to stay above $ 25.25 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Madison County Financial probability density function shows the probability of Madison Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Madison County Financial price to stay between $ 25.25 and its current price of $29.36 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.56 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Madison County has a beta of 0.28. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Madison County average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Madison County Financial will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Madison County Financial has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Madison County Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Madison County
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Madison County Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Madison County Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Madison County is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Madison County's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Madison County Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Madison County within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.56 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Madison County Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Madison County for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Madison County Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Madison County is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Madison County has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years |
Madison County Technical Analysis
Madison County's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Madison Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Madison County Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Madison Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Madison County Predictive Forecast Models
Madison County's time-series forecasting models is one of many Madison County's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Madison County's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Madison County Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Madison County for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Madison County Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Madison County is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Madison County has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Other Consideration for investing in Madison Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Madison County Financial check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Madison County's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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