Mcchip Resources Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 4.20

MCCHF Stock  USD 0.45  0.00  0.00%   
McChip Resources' future price is the expected price of McChip Resources instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of McChip Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out McChip Resources Backtesting, McChip Resources Valuation, McChip Resources Correlation, McChip Resources Hype Analysis, McChip Resources Volatility, McChip Resources History as well as McChip Resources Performance.
  
Please specify McChip Resources' target price for which you would like McChip Resources odds to be computed.

McChip Resources Target Price Odds to finish over 4.20

The tendency of McChip Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 4.20  or more in 90 days
 0.45 90 days 4.20 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of McChip Resources to move over $ 4.20  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This McChip Resources probability density function shows the probability of McChip Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of McChip Resources price to stay between its current price of $ 0.45  and $ 4.20  at the end of the 90-day period is about 74.06 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon McChip Resources has a beta of -0.28. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding McChip Resources are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, McChip Resources is likely to outperform the market. Additionally McChip Resources has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   McChip Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for McChip Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as McChip Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.451.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.391.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.451.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.450.450.45
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as McChip Resources. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against McChip Resources' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, McChip Resources' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in McChip Resources.

McChip Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. McChip Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the McChip Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold McChip Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of McChip Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.28
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

McChip Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of McChip Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for McChip Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
McChip Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
McChip Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

McChip Resources Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of McChip Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential McChip Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. McChip Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.7 M

McChip Resources Technical Analysis

McChip Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. McChip Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of McChip Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing McChip Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

McChip Resources Predictive Forecast Models

McChip Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many McChip Resources' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary McChip Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about McChip Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about McChip Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for McChip Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
McChip Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
McChip Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in McChip Pink Sheet

McChip Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether McChip Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in McChip with respect to the benefits of owning McChip Resources security.