Jpmorgan Fundamental Data Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 47.52
| MCDS Etf | 58.42 0.00 0.00% |
JPMorgan |
JPMorgan Fundamental Target Price Odds to finish below 47.52
The tendency of JPMorgan Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 47.52 or more in 90 days |
| 58.42 | 90 days | 47.52 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JPMorgan Fundamental to drop to 47.52 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This JPMorgan Fundamental Data probability density function shows the probability of JPMorgan Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JPMorgan Fundamental Data price to stay between 47.52 and its current price of 58.42 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.78 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days JPMorgan Fundamental has a beta of 0.87. This indicates JPMorgan Fundamental Data market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, JPMorgan Fundamental is expected to follow. Additionally JPMorgan Fundamental Data has an alpha of 0.0559, implying that it can generate a 0.0559 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). JPMorgan Fundamental Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for JPMorgan Fundamental
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JPMorgan Fundamental Data. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of JPMorgan Fundamental's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
JPMorgan Fundamental Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JPMorgan Fundamental is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JPMorgan Fundamental's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JPMorgan Fundamental Data, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JPMorgan Fundamental within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.87 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
JPMorgan Fundamental Technical Analysis
JPMorgan Fundamental's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JPMorgan Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JPMorgan Fundamental Data. In general, you should focus on analyzing JPMorgan Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
JPMorgan Fundamental Predictive Forecast Models
JPMorgan Fundamental's time-series forecasting models is one of many JPMorgan Fundamental's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JPMorgan Fundamental's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards JPMorgan Fundamental in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, JPMorgan Fundamental's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from JPMorgan Fundamental options trading.
Check out JPMorgan Fundamental Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, JPMorgan Fundamental Correlation, JPMorgan Fundamental Hype Analysis, JPMorgan Fundamental Volatility, JPMorgan Fundamental History as well as JPMorgan Fundamental Performance. You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
The market value of JPMorgan Fundamental Data is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of JPMorgan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of JPMorgan Fundamental's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is JPMorgan Fundamental's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because JPMorgan Fundamental's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect JPMorgan Fundamental's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between JPMorgan Fundamental's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if JPMorgan Fundamental is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JPMorgan Fundamental's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.