Mauch Chunk Trust Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 5.15
| MCHT Stock | USD 6.60 0.00 0.00% |
Mauch |
Mauch Chunk Target Price Odds to finish below 5.15
The tendency of Mauch Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 5.15 or more in 90 days |
| 6.60 | 90 days | 5.15 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mauch Chunk to drop to $ 5.15 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Mauch Chunk Trust probability density function shows the probability of Mauch Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mauch Chunk Trust price to stay between $ 5.15 and its current price of $6.6 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Mauch Chunk Trust has a beta of -0.11. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mauch Chunk are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mauch Chunk Trust is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mauch Chunk Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Mauch Chunk Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Mauch Chunk
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mauch Chunk Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mauch Chunk Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mauch Chunk is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mauch Chunk's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mauch Chunk Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mauch Chunk within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Mauch Chunk Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mauch Chunk for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mauch Chunk Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mauch Chunk Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Mauch Chunk Technical Analysis
Mauch Chunk's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mauch Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mauch Chunk Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mauch Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mauch Chunk Predictive Forecast Models
Mauch Chunk's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mauch Chunk's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mauch Chunk's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mauch Chunk Trust
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mauch Chunk for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mauch Chunk Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mauch Chunk Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for Mauch Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Mauch Chunk's price analysis, check to measure Mauch Chunk's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mauch Chunk is operating at the current time. Most of Mauch Chunk's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mauch Chunk's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mauch Chunk's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mauch Chunk to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.