Sotherly Hotels (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.93

MCL Stock  EUR 0.93  0.02  2.20%   
Sotherly Hotels' future price is the expected price of Sotherly Hotels instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sotherly Hotels performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sotherly Hotels Backtesting, Sotherly Hotels Valuation, Sotherly Hotels Correlation, Sotherly Hotels Hype Analysis, Sotherly Hotels Volatility, Sotherly Hotels History as well as Sotherly Hotels Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Sotherly Stock please use our How to Invest in Sotherly Hotels guide.
  
Please specify Sotherly Hotels' target price for which you would like Sotherly Hotels odds to be computed.

Sotherly Hotels Target Price Odds to finish below 0.93

The tendency of Sotherly Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 0.93 90 days 0.93 
about 1.93
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sotherly Hotels to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 1.93 (This Sotherly Hotels probability density function shows the probability of Sotherly Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Sotherly Hotels has a beta of -0.73. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sotherly Hotels are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sotherly Hotels is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sotherly Hotels has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Sotherly Hotels Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sotherly Hotels

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sotherly Hotels. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.050.936.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.855.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.825.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.900.940.98
Details

Sotherly Hotels Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sotherly Hotels is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sotherly Hotels' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sotherly Hotels, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sotherly Hotels within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.73
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Sotherly Hotels Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sotherly Hotels for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sotherly Hotels can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sotherly Hotels generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Sotherly Hotels has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Sotherly Hotels has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Sotherly Hotels has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 127.59 M. Net Loss for the year was (26.22 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.

Sotherly Hotels Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sotherly Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sotherly Hotels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sotherly Hotels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding17.4 M

Sotherly Hotels Technical Analysis

Sotherly Hotels' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sotherly Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sotherly Hotels. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sotherly Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sotherly Hotels Predictive Forecast Models

Sotherly Hotels' time-series forecasting models is one of many Sotherly Hotels' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sotherly Hotels' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sotherly Hotels

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sotherly Hotels for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sotherly Hotels help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sotherly Hotels generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Sotherly Hotels has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Sotherly Hotels has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Sotherly Hotels has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 127.59 M. Net Loss for the year was (26.22 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Sotherly Stock

When determining whether Sotherly Hotels offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Sotherly Hotels' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Sotherly Hotels Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Sotherly Hotels Stock:
Check out Sotherly Hotels Backtesting, Sotherly Hotels Valuation, Sotherly Hotels Correlation, Sotherly Hotels Hype Analysis, Sotherly Hotels Volatility, Sotherly Hotels History as well as Sotherly Hotels Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Sotherly Stock please use our How to Invest in Sotherly Hotels guide.
You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sotherly Hotels' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sotherly Hotels is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sotherly Hotels' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.