MCS Steel (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.86
| MCS Stock | THB 7.15 0.15 2.05% |
MCS |
MCS Steel Target Price Odds to finish over 6.86
The tendency of MCS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 6.86 in 90 days |
| 7.15 | 90 days | 6.86 | about 66.81 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MCS Steel to stay above 6.86 in 90 days from now is about 66.81 (This MCS Steel Public probability density function shows the probability of MCS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MCS Steel Public price to stay between 6.86 and its current price of 7.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.05 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MCS Steel Public has a beta of -0.53. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding MCS Steel are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, MCS Steel Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally MCS Steel Public has an alpha of 0.0905, implying that it can generate a 0.0905 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). MCS Steel Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MCS Steel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MCS Steel Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MCS Steel Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MCS Steel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MCS Steel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MCS Steel Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MCS Steel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.92 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
MCS Steel Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MCS Steel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MCS Steel Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MCS Steel Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| MCS Steel Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
MCS Steel Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MCS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MCS Steel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MCS Steel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 477 M |
MCS Steel Technical Analysis
MCS Steel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MCS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MCS Steel Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing MCS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MCS Steel Predictive Forecast Models
MCS Steel's time-series forecasting models is one of many MCS Steel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MCS Steel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MCS Steel Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about MCS Steel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MCS Steel Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MCS Steel Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| MCS Steel Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in MCS Stock
MCS Steel financial ratios help investors to determine whether MCS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MCS with respect to the benefits of owning MCS Steel security.