M3sixty Capital Small Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 12.51
| MCSCX Fund | 12.42 0.04 0.32% |
M3sixty |
M3sixty Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 12.51
The tendency of M3sixty Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 12.51 after 90 days |
| 12.42 | 90 days | 12.51 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of M3sixty Capital to stay under 12.51 after 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This M3sixty Capital Small probability density function shows the probability of M3sixty Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of M3sixty Capital Small price to stay between its current price of 12.42 and 12.51 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.51 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, M3sixty Capital will likely underperform. Additionally M3sixty Capital Small has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. M3sixty Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for M3sixty Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as M3sixty Capital Small. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of M3sixty Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
M3sixty Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. M3sixty Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the M3sixty Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold M3sixty Capital Small, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of M3sixty Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
M3sixty Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of M3sixty Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for M3sixty Capital Small can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments |
M3sixty Capital Technical Analysis
M3sixty Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. M3sixty Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of M3sixty Capital Small. In general, you should focus on analyzing M3sixty Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
M3sixty Capital Predictive Forecast Models
M3sixty Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many M3sixty Capital's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary M3sixty Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about M3sixty Capital Small
Checking the ongoing alerts about M3sixty Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for M3sixty Capital Small help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments |
Other Information on Investing in M3sixty Mutual Fund
M3sixty Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether M3sixty Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in M3sixty with respect to the benefits of owning M3sixty Capital security.
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