Melco International Development Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.57
| MDEVF Stock | USD 0.61 0.08 11.59% |
Melco |
Melco International Target Price Odds to finish below 0.57
The tendency of Melco Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.57 or more in 90 days |
| 0.61 | 90 days | 0.57 | about 15.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Melco International to drop to $ 0.57 or more in 90 days from now is about 15.49 (This Melco International Development probability density function shows the probability of Melco Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Melco International price to stay between $ 0.57 and its current price of $0.61 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.21 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Melco International Development has a beta of -0.36. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Melco International are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Melco International Development is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Melco International Development has an alpha of 0.1975, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Melco International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Melco International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Melco International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Melco International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Melco International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Melco International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Melco International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Melco International Development, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Melco International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Melco International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Melco International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Melco International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Melco International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Melco International had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Melco International Development has accumulated 53.16 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.69, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Melco International has a current ratio of 0.96, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Melco International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Melco International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Melco International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Melco to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Melco International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 15.64 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.81 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.5 B. | |
| About 59.0% of Melco International outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Melco International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Melco Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Melco International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Melco International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.5 B |
Melco International Technical Analysis
Melco International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Melco Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Melco International Development. In general, you should focus on analyzing Melco Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Melco International Predictive Forecast Models
Melco International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Melco International's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Melco International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Melco International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Melco International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Melco International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Melco International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Melco International had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Melco International Development has accumulated 53.16 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.69, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Melco International has a current ratio of 0.96, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Melco International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Melco International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Melco International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Melco to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Melco International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 15.64 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.81 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.5 B. | |
| About 59.0% of Melco International outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Melco Pink Sheet
Melco International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Melco Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Melco with respect to the benefits of owning Melco International security.