Duro Felguera (Spain) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.45
| MDF Stock | EUR 0.50 0.06 10.71% |
Duro |
Duro Felguera Target Price Odds to finish over 0.45
The tendency of Duro Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 0.45 in 90 days |
| 0.50 | 90 days | 0.45 | about 65.03 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Duro Felguera to stay above € 0.45 in 90 days from now is about 65.03 (This Duro Felguera probability density function shows the probability of Duro Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Duro Felguera price to stay between € 0.45 and its current price of €0.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.18 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Duro Felguera has a beta of -1.3. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Duro Felguera are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Duro Felguera is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Duro Felguera has an alpha of 0.2341, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Duro Felguera Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Duro Felguera
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Duro Felguera. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Duro Felguera Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Duro Felguera is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Duro Felguera's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Duro Felguera, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Duro Felguera within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.3 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0088 |
Duro Felguera Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Duro Felguera for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Duro Felguera can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Duro Felguera had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Duro Felguera has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Duro Felguera has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Duro Felguera has accumulated about 80.44 M in cash with (64.7 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.84, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Duro Felguera Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Duro Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Duro Felguera's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Duro Felguera's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 96 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 10.1 M |
Duro Felguera Technical Analysis
Duro Felguera's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Duro Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Duro Felguera. In general, you should focus on analyzing Duro Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Duro Felguera Predictive Forecast Models
Duro Felguera's time-series forecasting models is one of many Duro Felguera's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Duro Felguera's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Duro Felguera
Checking the ongoing alerts about Duro Felguera for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Duro Felguera help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Duro Felguera had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Duro Felguera has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Duro Felguera has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Duro Felguera has accumulated about 80.44 M in cash with (64.7 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.84, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Other Information on Investing in Duro Stock
Duro Felguera financial ratios help investors to determine whether Duro Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Duro with respect to the benefits of owning Duro Felguera security.