Medigus Ltd ADR Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.15

MDGSDelisted Stock  USD 1.73  0.01  0.58%   
Medigus' future price is the expected price of Medigus instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Medigus Ltd ADR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
  
Please specify Medigus' target price for which you would like Medigus odds to be computed.

Medigus Target Price Odds to finish over 4.15

The tendency of Medigus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 4.15  or more in 90 days
 1.73 90 days 4.15 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Medigus to move over $ 4.15  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Medigus Ltd ADR probability density function shows the probability of Medigus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Medigus Ltd ADR price to stay between its current price of $ 1.73  and $ 4.15  at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.43 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Medigus has a beta of 0.78. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Medigus average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Medigus Ltd ADR will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Medigus Ltd ADR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Medigus Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Medigus

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Medigus Ltd ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.731.731.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.661.661.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.731.731.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.511.882.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Medigus. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Medigus' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Medigus' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Medigus Ltd ADR.

Medigus Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Medigus is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Medigus' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Medigus Ltd ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Medigus within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.56
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.78
σ
Overall volatility
0.40
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Medigus Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Medigus for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Medigus Ltd ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Medigus Ltd ADR is now traded under the symbol XYLO. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It!
Medigus Ltd ADR is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Medigus Ltd ADR may become a speculative penny stock
Medigus Ltd ADR has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 91.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.8 M.
Medigus Ltd ADR currently holds about 24.75 M in cash with (5.66 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.01.

Medigus Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Medigus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Medigus' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Medigus' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments25.1 M

Medigus Technical Analysis

Medigus' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Medigus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Medigus Ltd ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Medigus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Medigus Predictive Forecast Models

Medigus' time-series forecasting models is one of many Medigus' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Medigus' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Medigus Ltd ADR

Checking the ongoing alerts about Medigus for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Medigus Ltd ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Medigus Ltd ADR is now traded under the symbol XYLO. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It!
Medigus Ltd ADR is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Medigus Ltd ADR may become a speculative penny stock
Medigus Ltd ADR has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 91.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.8 M.
Medigus Ltd ADR currently holds about 24.75 M in cash with (5.66 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.01.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

Other Consideration for investing in Medigus Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Medigus Ltd ADR check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Medigus' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Analyst Advice
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
USA ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA
Financial Widgets
Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Equity Search
Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets
Commodity Directory
Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios