Medigus Ltd WT Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.10

MDGSWDelisted Stock  USD 0.02  0.00  0.00%   
Medigus' future price is the expected price of Medigus instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Medigus Ltd WT performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
  
Please specify Medigus' target price for which you would like Medigus odds to be computed.

Medigus Target Price Odds to finish over 0.10

The tendency of Medigus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 0.10  or more in 90 days
 0.02 90 days 0.10 
roughly 2.5
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Medigus to move over $ 0.10  or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.5 (This Medigus Ltd WT probability density function shows the probability of Medigus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Medigus Ltd WT price to stay between its current price of $ 0.02  and $ 0.10  at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.71 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.44 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Medigus will likely underperform. In addition to that Medigus Ltd WT has an alpha of 4.1861, implying that it can generate a 4.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Medigus Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Medigus

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Medigus Ltd WT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Medigus' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.020.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.020.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.010.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.020.050.07
Details

Medigus Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Medigus is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Medigus' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Medigus Ltd WT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Medigus within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
4.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones3.44
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Medigus Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Medigus for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Medigus Ltd WT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Medigus Ltd WT is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Medigus Ltd WT has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Medigus Ltd WT has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 91.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Medigus generates negative cash flow from operations

Medigus Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Medigus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Medigus' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Medigus' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding24.6 M
Dividends Paid4.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments25.1 M

Medigus Technical Analysis

Medigus' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Medigus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Medigus Ltd WT. In general, you should focus on analyzing Medigus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Medigus Predictive Forecast Models

Medigus' time-series forecasting models is one of many Medigus' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Medigus' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Medigus Ltd WT

Checking the ongoing alerts about Medigus for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Medigus Ltd WT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Medigus Ltd WT is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Medigus Ltd WT has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Medigus Ltd WT has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 91.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Medigus generates negative cash flow from operations
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

Other Consideration for investing in Medigus Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Medigus Ltd WT check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Medigus' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Premium Stories
Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope
Transaction History
View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance
Positions Ratings
Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Portfolio File Import
Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities
Odds Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals