Modernland Realty (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 43.00
| MDLN Stock | IDR 52.00 1.00 1.89% |
Modernland |
Modernland Realty Target Price Odds to finish below 43.00
The tendency of Modernland Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 43.00 or more in 90 days |
| 52.00 | 90 days | 43.00 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Modernland Realty to drop to 43.00 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Modernland Realty Ltd probability density function shows the probability of Modernland Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Modernland Realty price to stay between 43.00 and its current price of 52.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 43.58 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Modernland Realty Ltd has a beta of -1.63. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Modernland Realty Ltd are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Modernland Realty is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Modernland Realty Ltd has an alpha of 0.314, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Modernland Realty Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Modernland Realty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Modernland Realty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Modernland Realty Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Modernland Realty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Modernland Realty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Modernland Realty Ltd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Modernland Realty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.63 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Modernland Realty Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Modernland Realty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Modernland Realty can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Modernland Realty had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.01 T. Net Loss for the year was (41.99 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.35 T. | |
| About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Modernland Realty Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Modernland Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Modernland Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Modernland Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.9 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 T |
Modernland Realty Technical Analysis
Modernland Realty's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Modernland Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Modernland Realty Ltd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Modernland Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Modernland Realty Predictive Forecast Models
Modernland Realty's time-series forecasting models is one of many Modernland Realty's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Modernland Realty's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Modernland Realty
Checking the ongoing alerts about Modernland Realty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Modernland Realty help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Modernland Realty had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.01 T. Net Loss for the year was (41.99 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.35 T. | |
| About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Modernland Stock
Modernland Realty financial ratios help investors to determine whether Modernland Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Modernland with respect to the benefits of owning Modernland Realty security.