Maisons Du (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.13

MDM Stock  EUR 3.44  0.11  3.30%   
Maisons Du's future price is the expected price of Maisons Du instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Maisons du Monde performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Maisons Du Backtesting, Maisons Du Valuation, Maisons Du Correlation, Maisons Du Hype Analysis, Maisons Du Volatility, Maisons Du History as well as Maisons Du Performance.
  
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Maisons Du Target Price Odds to finish over 4.13

The tendency of Maisons Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 4.13  or more in 90 days
 3.44 90 days 4.13 
about 14.25
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Maisons Du to move over € 4.13  or more in 90 days from now is about 14.25 (This Maisons du Monde probability density function shows the probability of Maisons Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Maisons du Monde price to stay between its current price of € 3.44  and € 4.13  at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.24 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Maisons du Monde has a beta of -0.0431. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Maisons Du are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Maisons du Monde is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Maisons du Monde has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Maisons Du Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Maisons Du

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Maisons du Monde. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.663.446.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.313.095.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.893.676.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.303.403.51
Details

Maisons Du Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Maisons Du is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Maisons Du's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Maisons du Monde, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Maisons Du within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.29
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Maisons Du Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Maisons Du for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Maisons du Monde can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Maisons du Monde generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Maisons Du Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Maisons Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Maisons Du's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Maisons Du's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding49.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments163.2 M

Maisons Du Technical Analysis

Maisons Du's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Maisons Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Maisons du Monde. In general, you should focus on analyzing Maisons Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Maisons Du Predictive Forecast Models

Maisons Du's time-series forecasting models is one of many Maisons Du's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Maisons Du's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Maisons du Monde

Checking the ongoing alerts about Maisons Du for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Maisons du Monde help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Maisons du Monde generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Maisons Stock

Maisons Du financial ratios help investors to determine whether Maisons Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Maisons with respect to the benefits of owning Maisons Du security.