Mdxhealth Sa Adr Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.96
| MDXH Stock | USD 2.34 0.14 6.36% |
MDxHealth |
MDxHealth Target Price Odds to finish over 1.96
The tendency of MDxHealth Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 1.96 in 90 days |
| 2.34 | 90 days | 1.96 | about 69.75 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MDxHealth to stay above $ 1.96 in 90 days from now is about 69.75 (This MDxHealth SA ADR probability density function shows the probability of MDxHealth Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MDxHealth SA ADR price to stay between $ 1.96 and its current price of $2.34 at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.36 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days MDxHealth has a beta of 0.42. This indicates as returns on the market go up, MDxHealth average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding MDxHealth SA ADR will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally MDxHealth SA ADR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. MDxHealth Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MDxHealth
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MDxHealth SA ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MDxHealth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
MDxHealth Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MDxHealth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MDxHealth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MDxHealth SA ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MDxHealth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
MDxHealth Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MDxHealth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MDxHealth SA ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MDxHealth SA ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| MDxHealth SA ADR has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 70.19 M. Net Loss for the year was (43.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 19.22 M. | |
| MDxHealth SA ADR currently holds about 40.02 M in cash with (21.5 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.57, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| MDxHealth SA ADR has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Maven Securities LTD Acquires New Shares in MDxHealth SA |
MDxHealth Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MDxHealth Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MDxHealth's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MDxHealth's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 22.4 M |
MDxHealth Technical Analysis
MDxHealth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MDxHealth Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MDxHealth SA ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing MDxHealth Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MDxHealth Predictive Forecast Models
MDxHealth's time-series forecasting models is one of many MDxHealth's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MDxHealth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MDxHealth SA ADR
Checking the ongoing alerts about MDxHealth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MDxHealth SA ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MDxHealth SA ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| MDxHealth SA ADR has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 70.19 M. Net Loss for the year was (43.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 19.22 M. | |
| MDxHealth SA ADR currently holds about 40.02 M in cash with (21.5 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.57, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| MDxHealth SA ADR has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Maven Securities LTD Acquires New Shares in MDxHealth SA |
Check out MDxHealth Backtesting, MDxHealth Valuation, MDxHealth Correlation, MDxHealth Hype Analysis, MDxHealth Volatility, MDxHealth History as well as MDxHealth Performance. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MDxHealth. If investors know MDxHealth will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MDxHealth listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.53) | Revenue Per Share 3.099 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.205 | Return On Assets (0.11) | Return On Equity (2.41) |
The market value of MDxHealth SA ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MDxHealth that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MDxHealth's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MDxHealth's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MDxHealth's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MDxHealth's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MDxHealth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MDxHealth is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MDxHealth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.