Medeze Group (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.72
| MEDEZE Stock | 7.85 0.10 1.29% |
Medeze |
Medeze Group Target Price Odds to finish below 3.72
The tendency of Medeze Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 3.72 or more in 90 days |
| 7.85 | 90 days | 3.72 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Medeze Group to drop to 3.72 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Medeze Group PCL probability density function shows the probability of Medeze Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Medeze Group PCL price to stay between 3.72 and its current price of 7.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Medeze Group PCL has a beta of -0.0774. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Medeze Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Medeze Group PCL is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Medeze Group PCL has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Medeze Group Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Medeze Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Medeze Group PCL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Medeze Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Medeze Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Medeze Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Medeze Group PCL.Medeze Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Medeze Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Medeze Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Medeze Group PCL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Medeze Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.98 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.26 |
Medeze Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Medeze Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Medeze Group PCL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Medeze Group PCL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Medeze Group PCL has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Medeze Group Technical Analysis
Medeze Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Medeze Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Medeze Group PCL. In general, you should focus on analyzing Medeze Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Medeze Group Predictive Forecast Models
Medeze Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Medeze Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Medeze Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Medeze Group PCL
Checking the ongoing alerts about Medeze Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Medeze Group PCL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Medeze Group PCL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Medeze Group PCL has high historical volatility and very poor performance |