Mega Lifesciences (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 38.5
| MEGA Stock | THB 34.75 0.25 0.71% |
Mega |
Mega Lifesciences Target Price Odds to finish below 38.5
The tendency of Mega Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 38.50 after 90 days |
| 34.75 | 90 days | 38.50 | about 56.98 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mega Lifesciences to stay under 38.50 after 90 days from now is about 56.98 (This Mega Lifesciences Public probability density function shows the probability of Mega Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mega Lifesciences Public price to stay between its current price of 34.75 and 38.50 at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.86 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mega Lifesciences Public has a beta of -0.11. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mega Lifesciences are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mega Lifesciences Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mega Lifesciences Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Mega Lifesciences Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mega Lifesciences
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mega Lifesciences Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mega Lifesciences Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mega Lifesciences is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mega Lifesciences' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mega Lifesciences Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mega Lifesciences within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.98 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Mega Lifesciences Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mega Lifesciences for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mega Lifesciences Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mega Lifesciences generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 61.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Mega Lifesciences Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mega Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mega Lifesciences' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mega Lifesciences' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 871.9 M |
Mega Lifesciences Technical Analysis
Mega Lifesciences' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mega Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mega Lifesciences Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mega Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mega Lifesciences Predictive Forecast Models
Mega Lifesciences' time-series forecasting models is one of many Mega Lifesciences' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mega Lifesciences' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mega Lifesciences Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mega Lifesciences for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mega Lifesciences Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mega Lifesciences generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 61.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Mega Stock
Mega Lifesciences financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mega Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mega with respect to the benefits of owning Mega Lifesciences security.