Metlife Preferred Stock Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 22.77

MET-PA Preferred Stock  USD 24.53  0.08  0.33%   
MetLife Preferred's future price is the expected price of MetLife Preferred instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of MetLife Preferred Stock performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out MetLife Preferred Backtesting, MetLife Preferred Valuation, MetLife Preferred Correlation, MetLife Preferred Hype Analysis, MetLife Preferred Volatility, MetLife Preferred History as well as MetLife Preferred Performance.
  
Please specify MetLife Preferred's target price for which you would like MetLife Preferred odds to be computed.

MetLife Preferred Target Price Odds to finish below 22.77

The tendency of MetLife Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 22.77  or more in 90 days
 24.53 90 days 22.77 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MetLife Preferred to drop to $ 22.77  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This MetLife Preferred Stock probability density function shows the probability of MetLife Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MetLife Preferred Stock price to stay between $ 22.77  and its current price of $24.53 at the end of the 90-day period is about 53.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MetLife Preferred has a beta of 0.0617. This indicates as returns on the market go up, MetLife Preferred average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding MetLife Preferred Stock will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally MetLife Preferred Stock has an alpha of 0.0053, implying that it can generate a 0.005327 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   MetLife Preferred Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for MetLife Preferred

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MetLife Preferred Stock. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.8924.4525.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.9124.4725.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.8624.4224.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.2824.5424.80
Details

MetLife Preferred Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MetLife Preferred is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MetLife Preferred's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MetLife Preferred Stock, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MetLife Preferred within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.25
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

MetLife Preferred Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MetLife Preferred for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MetLife Preferred Stock can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MetLife Preferred has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations

MetLife Preferred Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MetLife Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MetLife Preferred's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MetLife Preferred's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding779.1 M

MetLife Preferred Technical Analysis

MetLife Preferred's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MetLife Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MetLife Preferred Stock. In general, you should focus on analyzing MetLife Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

MetLife Preferred Predictive Forecast Models

MetLife Preferred's time-series forecasting models is one of many MetLife Preferred's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MetLife Preferred's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about MetLife Preferred Stock

Checking the ongoing alerts about MetLife Preferred for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MetLife Preferred Stock help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MetLife Preferred has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations

Other Information on Investing in MetLife Preferred Stock

MetLife Preferred financial ratios help investors to determine whether MetLife Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MetLife with respect to the benefits of owning MetLife Preferred security.