Meta Public (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.01

META Stock  THB 0.14  0.01  7.69%   
Meta Public's future price is the expected price of Meta Public instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Meta Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Meta Public Backtesting, Meta Public Valuation, Meta Public Correlation, Meta Public Hype Analysis, Meta Public Volatility, Meta Public History as well as Meta Public Performance.
  
Please specify Meta Public's target price for which you would like Meta Public odds to be computed.

Meta Public Target Price Odds to finish below 0.01

The tendency of Meta Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.01  or more in 90 days
 0.14 90 days 0.01 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Meta Public to drop to  0.01  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Meta Public probability density function shows the probability of Meta Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Meta Public price to stay between  0.01  and its current price of 0.14 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.96 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Meta Public has a beta of -1.59. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Meta Public are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Meta Public is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Meta Public has an alpha of 0.5277, implying that it can generate a 0.53 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Meta Public Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Meta Public

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Meta Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.145.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.125.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.145.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.120.150.17
Details

Meta Public Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Meta Public is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Meta Public's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Meta Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Meta Public within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.53
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.59
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Meta Public Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Meta Public for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Meta Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Meta Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Meta Public had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Meta Public has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 74.55 M. Net Loss for the year was (100.13 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 11.99 M.
Meta Public has accumulated about 7.95 M in cash with (77.38 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 49.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Meta Public Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Meta Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Meta Public's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Meta Public's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.7 B

Meta Public Technical Analysis

Meta Public's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Meta Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Meta Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Meta Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Meta Public Predictive Forecast Models

Meta Public's time-series forecasting models is one of many Meta Public's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Meta Public's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Meta Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Meta Public for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Meta Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Meta Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Meta Public had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Meta Public has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 74.55 M. Net Loss for the year was (100.13 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 11.99 M.
Meta Public has accumulated about 7.95 M in cash with (77.38 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 49.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Meta Stock

Meta Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether Meta Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Meta with respect to the benefits of owning Meta Public security.